SignalFrogCreate clarity.
Not advice.
Most investors learn about a shift in risk once it already shows in their portfolio. Not because the signs were missing, but because nobody put them together.
The problem we work on
Macro data, credit markets, politics and energy shift continuously and mostly without drama. Each move on its own is too small to make the news. Together they form a picture — but assembling that picture takes time, access to data and methodological grounding. That is precisely where it breaks down for most people who have built something and want to keep it.
What we build against it
A daily signal that expresses the state of the market environment as one number in four states — and that can be traced back to the individual data source. Not so that you believe us, but so that you can recompute it.
What we deliberately do not do
We recommend no securities, manage no assets and refer no brokers. This is not legal caution but the condition for our judgement to be worth anything: whoever earns on the outcome of a recommendation cannot give a neutral risk assessment.
How we want to be measured
On three things. The methodology is published in full, including weights and thresholds. The data comes from public sources anyone can retrieve. And the backtest names what it could not show, instead of reporting only the good numbers.
We create clarity. You decide.